Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 2.435987 2.588691 2.750322 2.934876 3.140684 3.364207 3.626787
2025-12-28 2.193405 2.403260 2.637156 2.919846 3.255972 3.647771 4.146587
2026-01-04 2.004115 2.235750 2.502031 2.835414 3.248550 3.753599 4.434351
2026-01-11 1.897657 2.148784 2.445053 2.827387 3.318813 3.946264 4.839184
2026-01-18 1.838997 2.110944 2.439552 2.875928 3.457033 4.231962 5.398898
2026-01-25 1.921421 2.248517 2.657565 3.224106 4.020212 5.157361 7.039107
2026-02-01 1.800344 2.120821 2.526387 3.096533 3.913505 5.110966 7.167489
2026-02-08 1.685651 1.995272 2.390511 2.952260 3.768989 4.989699 7.147329
2026-02-15 1.622988 1.933996 2.335848 2.915910 3.776991 5.101073 7.544051
2026-02-22 1.555402 1.862961 2.264079 2.850077 3.734308 5.125246 7.783798
2026-03-01 1.484843 1.785098 2.179369 2.760489 3.648108 5.068555 7.858553
2026-03-08 1.408335 1.696698 2.076821 2.639926 3.506061 4.905989 7.700147
2026-03-15 1.365467 1.656601 2.045347 2.631061 3.553568 5.096535 8.355564
2026-03-22 1.322279 1.614878 2.010400 2.616136 3.592599 5.282922 9.070916
2026-03-29 1.265585 1.551985 1.942086 2.545668 3.533117 5.280937 9.356348
2026-04-05 1.232775 1.520548 1.916786 2.538933 3.578806 5.481098 10.195029
2026-04-12 1.216362 1.510998 1.922127 2.579573 3.708682 5.864651 11.670603
2026-04-19 1.268060 1.599557 2.075749 2.868886 4.318610 7.388363 17.721513
2026-04-26 1.213519 1.533068 1.993419 2.763320 4.179641 7.212103 17.689823
2026-05-03 1.158207 1.463959 1.904874 2.643326 4.004850 6.931378 17.137556
2026-05-10 1.128280 1.430971 1.870311 2.612989 4.002561 7.067245 18.449439
2026-05-17 1.093958 1.390510 1.822764 2.557939 3.946920 7.063780 19.159568
2026-05-24 1.056456 1.344403 1.765052 2.482800 3.845884 6.933149 19.206531